NO STUNNERS YET – AT 9:54 A.M. ET:  We're starting a little late this morning because I've been checking as many sources as possible to determine the political damage to Hillary Clinton from Friday's FBI announcement.

The verdict:  Incomplete.  Some of the trackers don't poll over the weekends.  This is not due to vacation envy.   Lifestyles change on weekends and some pollsters feel they're not getting an accurate picture.  Most trackers are rolling polls that reflect three days of surveys.  So, some of the trackers published this morning reflect Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday of last week.  The FBI announcement was made late Friday.  We won't get a full picture of the impact, if any, for another few days, when all the polling takes account of the FBI's statement.

However, there has been some impact in overall polling already, reflecting not only the FBI story but Hillary Clinton's general deterioration in the days before Friday's announcement.  The RealClearPolitics average of polls stands this morning at Clinton up 2.9%.  She had been up by 5-6% early last week.  We're now within the margin of error.  The easy victory isn't so easy any longer.

We'll track each day until the election.  If the present trend continues, do not be shocked if the average of polls shows a dead heat on election day.  Or maybe a slight Trump lead.  (Of course, if there's one person who can blow his advantage in the final days, it's Donald Trump.  They've got to keep him scripted and on meds.)

The key will be turnout.  Who will vote?  Who will decide to stay home?  Richard Nixon won the presidency in 1968 because a number of Democrats stayed home, in protest against the Vietnam War. 

Is anybody happy?

October 31,  2016